Vaccinologist Gagandeep Kang said that the current surge may go down in mid to end of May.
In a webinar organised by the Indian Women Press Corps, vaccinologist Gagandeep Kang shared essentials predictions about COVID-19 and the graph of the number of detected cases. According to Kang, the current surge would go down in the middle to the end of May. She also said that there is a possibility of peaks during this time but they may not be as bad as the current peak.
Gagandeep Kang on COVID-19 Second Wave
Kang mentioned that there is 'very little fuel' for the virus in rural areas to continue. Currently, the virus is doing a 'world through' in the areas of the middle-class population where it didn't do last year. Kang pointed out the proportion of tests and the actual number of cases. She said that the proportion is much larger than what's being revealed in the tests. Gagandeep Kang also expressed her concerns about the declining number of tests in her statement.
In her response to a question about the possible duration of the second wave in the webinar Kang said, "Best case estimates from a number of models are somewhere between the middle and the end of the month. Some models have it going into early June but based on what we are seeing, right now middle to end of May is a reasonable estimate."
Talking about reinfections and vaccines, Kang added, "It may be imperfect in immunity, so we may need boosters if we keep having enough virus replications to have new mutants that have immune escape, but I am pretty sure that we are not going to be in this situation that we are in today too many more times. At least, not with this virus."
Picture Credit: Business Standard